Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 9?
ActiveLiquidity $1,379·Volume $9,979·Ends Nov 9, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$480
Smart money entered64¢100¢at 00:28(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 9, 2026)Liquidity$1,379
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 64¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$480 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:28
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 26¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 28¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 28¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 52¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 52¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $22 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 41¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 42¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 41¢ | $14 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 47¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 45¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 42¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 43¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 44¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 43¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 48¢ | $34 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 50¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 52¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 49¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 48¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 49¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 48¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | hello.67Mid | Buy | No | 63¢ | $103 |
| 2d ago | hello.67Mid | Buy | No | 61¢ | $77 |
| 2d ago | hello.67Mid | Buy | No | 65¢ | $66 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 32¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | hello.67Mid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $49 |
| 3d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 26¢ | $4 |
| 3d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 26¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $9 |
| 3d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $3 |
| 3d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $14 |
| 3d ago | hello.67Mid | Buy | No | 76¢ | $76 |