Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on November 10?
ActiveLiquidity $295·Volume $50·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$111 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$759
Smart money entered45¢100¢at 02:29(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$295
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $111 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 45¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $111 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$759 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:29
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 44¢ | $23 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 44¢ | $23 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 48¢ | $60 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 48¢ | $60 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 47¢ | $9 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 47¢ | $9 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $41 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $41 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 40¢ | $115 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 40¢ | $115 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 39¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 39¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 39¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 39¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 38¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 38¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 39¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 39¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 38¢ | $18 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 38¢ | $18 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 37¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 37¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 47¢ | $11 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 47¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 47¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 46¢ | $9 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 46¢ | $9 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 55¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 55¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 54¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | Yes | 53¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 53¢ | $74 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 52¢ | $14 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 50¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 50¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 51¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 51¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 52¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 52¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 52¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 53¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 53¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 52¢ | $68 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 52¢ | $68 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 52¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 64¢ | $17 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 61¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 241532532432Mid | Buy | No | 59¢ | $12 |