Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on November 12?
ActiveLiquidity $5·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$721 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$449
72h +$2,011
Smart money entered49¢100¢at 05:32(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$5
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $721 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 49¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $721 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$449, +$2,011 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:32
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 52¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 52¢ | $45 |
| 1d ago | WrongBy1DegreeMid | Buy | Yes | 52¢ | $90 |
| 1d ago | WrongBy1DegreeMid | Buy | Yes | 52¢ | $90 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 51¢ | $36 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 51¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 51¢ | $36 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 51¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 51¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 51¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 51¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | WrongBy1DegreeMid | Buy | Yes | 49¢ | $62 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $53 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $53 |
| 1d ago | WrongBy1DegreeMid | Buy | Yes | 51¢ | $90 |
| 1d ago | WrongBy1DegreeMid | Buy | Yes | 51¢ | $90 |
| 1d ago | WrongBy1DegreeMid | Buy | Yes | 46¢ | $92 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 47¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 47¢ | $13 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 47¢ | $2 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 47¢ | $34 |
| 1d ago | WrongBy1DegreeMid | Buy | Yes | 49¢ | $92 |
| 1d ago | WrongBy1DegreeMid | Buy | Yes | 47¢ | $92 |