Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 14°C on November 12?
ActiveLiquidity $3·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$393
Smart money entered77¢100¢at 05:27(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$3
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 77¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$393 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:27
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $52 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $21 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Sell | No | 83¢ | $74 |
| 2d ago | WrongBy1DegreeMid | Buy | No | 76¢ | $304 |
| 2d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 72¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 72¢ | $14 |
| 2d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 80¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 80¢ | $43 |
| 2d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 80¢ | $9 |