Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on November 12?
ActiveLiquidity $16·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$360
72h +$360
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 05:22(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy20h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$16
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$360, +$360 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:22
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20h ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $6 |
| 21h ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $3 |
| 21h ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $3 |
| 21h ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $257 |
| 21h ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $91 |
| 1d ago | WrongBy1DegreeMid | Buy | No | 67¢ | $7 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 66¢ | $52 |
| 2d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 73¢ | $52 |