Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on November 13?
ActiveLiquidity $31·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Yes5%No95%
Smart money leans
No
89% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
89%price89%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$118 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$264
72h +$264
Smart money entered80¢89¢at 09:34(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 2d(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$31
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $118 riding on it.
The price of 89% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 80¢; the price was 89¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $118 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$264, +$264 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 09:34
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98Top | Buy | No | 82¢ | $54 |
| 2h ago | 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98Top | Buy | No | 82¢ | $54 |
| 2h ago | 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98Top | Buy | No | 78¢ | $64 |
| 2h ago | 0x65f7226a82e093e5115e47ec2f4f7e733cd28b98Top | Buy | No | 78¢ | $64 |