Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on November 12?
ActiveLiquidity $12·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$389 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$511
Smart money entered76¢100¢at 05:20(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$12
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $389 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 76¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $389 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$511 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:20
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | WrongBy1DegreeMid | Buy | No | 74¢ | $61 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 79¢ | $52 |
| 1d ago | WrongBy1DegreeMid | Buy | No | 78¢ | $202 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 71¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 71¢ | $3 |
| 1d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 70¢ | $53 |
| 2d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 75¢ | $17 |