Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on November 11?
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$2,578
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 05:23(2% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$0
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 2% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$2,578 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:23
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $5 |
| 1d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $17 |
| 1d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $17 |
| 1d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $10 |
| 1d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $267 |
| 1d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $267 |
| 1d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $37 |
| 1d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $37 |
| 1d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $17 |
| 1d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $17 |
| 1d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $915 |
| 1d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $915 |
| 1d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $8 |
| 1d ago | 0x1dda…23bbMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 68¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | OnlyLuckNoBrainTop | Buy | No | 65¢ | $14 |