TailSlip
Log in

Command Palette

Search for a command to run...

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on November 11?

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Yes—No—

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 05:22computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
60%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$1,182
Smart money entered100¢0.0¢at 05:22Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$0
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$1,182 on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 05:22
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1d ago0x1dda…23bbMidBuyYes100¢$7
1d ago0x1dda…23bbMidBuyYes100¢$7
1d ago0x1dda…23bbMidBuyYes100¢$159
1d ago0x1dda…23bbMidBuyYes100¢$159
1d ago0x1dda…23bbMidBuyYes100¢$214
1d ago0x1dda…23bbMidBuyYes100¢$214
1d ago0x1dda…23bbMidBuyYes100¢$62
1d ago0x1dda…23bbMidBuyYes100¢$62
1d ago0x1dda…23bbMidBuyYes100¢$36
1d ago0x1dda…23bbMidBuyYes100¢$36
1d ago0x1dda…23bbMidBuyYes100¢$2
1d ago0x1dda…23bbMidBuyYes100¢$2
1d ago0x1dda…23bbMidBuyYes100¢$3
1d ago0x1dda…23bbMidBuyYes100¢$3
1d ago0x1dda…23bbMidBuyYes100¢$59
1d ago0x1dda…23bbMidBuyYes100¢$59
1d ago0xae5b…ab1bMidBuyYes100¢$8
1d ago0xae5b…ab1bMidBuyYes100¢$39
1d ago0xae5b…ab1bMidBuyYes100¢$32
1d ago0xae5b…ab1bMidBuyYes100¢$20
3d agoWrongBy1DegreeMidBuyNo60¢$71