Will United Arab Emirates win on 2026-11-13?
ActiveLiquidity $62·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$5,682
72h +$5,682
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 06:12(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy13h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$62
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$5,682, +$5,682 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:12
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $19 |
| 13h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $19 |
| 13h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $2 |
| 13h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $2 |
| 13h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $4 |
| 13h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $4 |
| 13h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $1,984 |
| 13h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $1,984 |
| 14h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $33 |
| 14h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $33 |
| 14h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $36 |
| 14h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $36 |
| 14h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $1 |
| 14h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $3 |
| 14h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $2 |
| 14h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $6 |
| 14h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $337 |
| 14h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $2 |
| 14h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $168 |
| 14h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $44 |
| 14h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $384 |
| 14h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $1 |
| 14h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $10 |
| 14h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $2 |
| 15h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $1 |
| 15h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $6 |
| 15h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $113 |
| 15h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $5 |
| 15h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $96 |
| 15h ago | 0xd2d7…82e2Top | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $173 |
| 15h ago | thirdt1meMid | Sell | No | 24¢ | $4 |
| 15h ago | thirdt1meMid | Sell | No | 24¢ | $41 |
| 15h ago | thirdt1meMid | Sell | No | 24¢ | $20 |
| 16h ago | yuiui1025Mid | Sell | No | 22¢ | $2 |
| 16h ago | thirdt1meMid | Buy | Yes | 77¢ | $154 |
| 16h ago | thirdt1meMid | Buy | Yes | 77¢ | $193 |
| 16h ago | yuiui1025Mid | Buy | No | 48¢ | $5 |
| 16h ago | yuiui1025Mid | Buy | No | 48¢ | $6 |
| 16h ago | thirdt1meMid | Buy | No | 47¢ | $47 |
| 16h ago | thirdt1meMid | Buy | No | 47¢ | $94 |
| 16h ago | thirdt1meMid | Buy | No | 47¢ | $118 |
| 17h ago | 0xedbb…63b8Mid | Buy | No | 52¢ | $349 |
| 17h ago | 0xedbb…63b8Mid | Buy | No | 52¢ | $5 |
| 17h ago | 0xedbb…63b8Mid | Buy | No | 52¢ | $444 |
| 17h ago | 0xedbb…63b8Mid | Buy | No | 52¢ | $10 |
| 17h ago | 0xedbb…63b8Mid | Buy | No | 53¢ | $790 |
| 17h ago | 0xedbb…63b8Mid | Buy | No | 53¢ | $3 |
| 17h ago | 0xedbb…63b8Mid | Buy | No | 53¢ | $6 |
| 17h ago | 0xedbb…63b8Mid | Buy | No | 53¢ | $26 |
| 20h ago | 0xd5c1…af9eMid | Buy | No | 55¢ | $100 |