Will Australia win on 2026-11-13?
ActiveLiquidity $756·Volume $1·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$4,323
72h +$4,323
Smart money entered53¢100¢at 06:43(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy16h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$756
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 53¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$4,323, +$4,323 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:43
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16h ago | alpheclabs2Mid | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $48 |
| 16h ago | alpheclabs2Mid | Buy | No | 7.0¢ | $16 |
| 16h ago | ARocky33Top | Buy | Yes | 83¢ | $123 |
| 16h ago | ARocky33Top | Buy | Yes | 83¢ | $123 |
| 16h ago | tradecraftMid | Buy | No | 21¢ | $11 |
| 16h ago | tradecraftMid | Buy | No | 21¢ | $11 |
| 17h ago | tradecraftMid | Buy | No | 45¢ | $3 |
| 17h ago | tradecraftMid | Buy | No | 47¢ | $7 |
| 17h ago | 0xedbb…63b8Mid | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $2 |
| 17h ago | 0xedbb…63b8Mid | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $50 |
| 17h ago | 0xedbb…63b8Mid | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $20 |
| 17h ago | 0xedbb…63b8Mid | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $15 |
| 17h ago | 0xedbb…63b8Mid | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $152 |
| 17h ago | 0xedbb…63b8Mid | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $680 |
| 17h ago | 0xedbb…63b8Mid | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $36 |
| 17h ago | 0xedbb…63b8Mid | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $50 |
| 17h ago | 0xedbb…63b8Mid | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $10 |
| 17h ago | DanielsDixonMid | Buy | Yes | 51¢ | $510 |
| 17h ago | tradecraftMid | Buy | No | 49¢ | $7 |
| 17h ago | DanielsDixonMid | Buy | Yes | 51¢ | $510 |
| 20h ago | 0xd5c1…af9eMid | Buy | No | 51¢ | $100 |
| 20h ago | 0xd5c1…af9eMid | Buy | No | 51¢ | $100 |
| 1w ago | BlackMamba08Top | Buy | No | 20¢ | $0 |