Lithuania leading at halftime?
ActiveLiquidity $17.4K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
99% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.0pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$204 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$409
72h +$409
Smart money entered99¢99¢at 18:58(0% priced in)Edge left+0.0ppLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$17.4K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $204 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $204 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$409, +$409 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 18:58
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $204 |
| 2h ago | 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $204 |