Brazil leading at halftime?
ActiveLiquidity $14.0K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Yes2%No99%
Smart money leans
Yes
41% at snapshot
Divergence
+2.3pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
41%price43%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$298 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$596
72h +$596
Smart money entered41¢41¢at 09:58(0% priced in)Edge left+2.3ppLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$14.0K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $298 riding on it.
The price of 41% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 41¢; the price was 41¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $298 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$596, +$596 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 09:58
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 0xC905611985A8a4A63C98E1c66a8EEB88De84850b-1774690196695Mid | Buy | Yes | 41¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0xC905611985A8a4A63C98E1c66a8EEB88De84850b-1774690196695Mid | Buy | Yes | 41¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | 0xC905611985A8a4A63C98E1c66a8EEB88De84850b-1774690196695Mid | Buy | Yes | 41¢ | $301 |
| 1h ago | 0xC905611985A8a4A63C98E1c66a8EEB88De84850b-1774690196695Mid | Buy | Yes | 41¢ | $301 |