Will Brazil win on 2026-11-14?
ActiveLiquidity $1,969·Volume $3·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$4,767
72h +$5,750
Smart money entered51¢100¢at 07:57(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy20h agoResolvesended(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$1,969
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 51¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$4,767, +$5,750 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:57
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20h ago | SlickRick123Mid | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $1 |
| 21h ago | SlickRick123Mid | Buy | Yes | 24¢ | $56 |
| 21h ago | 0x6980…5478Mid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $6 |
| 21h ago | 0x6980…5478Mid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $1 |
| 21h ago | 0x6980…5478Mid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $1 |
| 21h ago | 0x6980…5478Mid | Buy | Yes | 10¢ | $8 |
| 21h ago | 0x6980…5478Mid | Buy | Yes | 10¢ | $2 |
| 21h ago | 0x6980…5478Mid | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $19 |
| 21h ago | 0x6980…5478Mid | Buy | Yes | 20¢ | $1 |
| 21h ago | 0x6980…5478Mid | Buy | Yes | 22¢ | $22 |
| 22h ago | polaroid14Mid | Buy | Yes | 49¢ | $490 |
| 22h ago | 0x6980…5478Mid | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $18 |
| 22h ago | 0x6980…5478Mid | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $747 |
| 22h ago | 0x6980…5478Mid | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $5 |
| 22h ago | 0x6980…5478Mid | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $175 |
| 22h ago | 0x6980…5478Mid | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $100 |
| 22h ago | 0x6980…5478Mid | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $1 |
| 22h ago | 0x6980…5478Mid | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $4 |
| 22h ago | 0x6980…5478Mid | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $1,111 |
| 22h ago | 0x6980…5478Mid | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $6 |
| 22h ago | 0x6980…5478Mid | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $5 |
| 22h ago | 0x6980…5478Mid | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $61 |
| 22h ago | 0x6980…5478Mid | Buy | Yes | 50¢ | $517 |
| 1d ago | 0x6980…5478Mid | Buy | Yes | 52¢ | $5 |