Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 14, 2:00 AM ET?
ActiveLiquidity $2,531·Volume $3,782·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$367 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$543
72h +$543
Smart money entered68¢100¢at 03:12(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 2h 47m(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$2,531
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $367 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 68¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $367 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$543, +$543 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 03:12
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 0x2b0b…3cfcMid | Sell | No | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | smellyEllieMid | Sell | Yes | 99¢ | $693 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 65¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $20 |
| 3h ago | smellyEllieMid | Buy | Yes | 53¢ | $371 |
| 3h ago | 0x2b0b…3cfcMid | Buy | No | 31¢ | $4 |
| 3h ago | 0x2b0b…3cfcMid | Buy | No | 31¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | 0x2b0b…3cfcMid | Buy | No | 31¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | 0x2b0b…3cfcMid | Buy | No | 31¢ | $4 |
| 3h ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | Yes | 68¢ | $340 |
| 3h ago | 0x2b0b…3cfcMid | Buy | No | 31¢ | $47 |
| 3h ago | 0x2b0b…3cfcMid | Buy | No | 31¢ | $47 |