Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 13, 7:00 PM ET?
ActiveLiquidity $5,588·Volume $52.6K·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
99%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$998 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,114
72h +$1,114
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 01:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$5,588
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $998 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $998 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,114, +$1,114 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 01:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 0x49f3…76fbMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $250 |
| 2h ago | 0x49f3…76fbMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $200 |
| 2h ago | 0x49f3…76fbMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $300 |
| 2h ago | 0x49f3…76fbMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $73 |
| 2h ago | 0x49f3…76fbMid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $177 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 0.1¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 0.1¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 100¢ | $616 |
| 2h ago | MineYoursMid | Buy | Yes | 0.4¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 2.0¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 2.0¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 1.0¢ | $56 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 1.0¢ | $56 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 3.9¢ | $38 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 3.9¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 3.9¢ | $38 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 3.9¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 2.9¢ | $30 |
| 3h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 3.0¢ | $28 |
| 3h ago | smellyEllieMid | Buy | Yes | 4.1¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | smellyEllieMid | Buy | Yes | 4.1¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | smellyEllieMid | Buy | Yes | 4.1¢ | $24 |
| 3h ago | smellyEllieMid | Buy | Yes | 4.1¢ | $24 |
| 3h ago | smellyEllieMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $11 |
| 3h ago | smellyEllieMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $11 |
| 3h ago | smellyEllieMid | Buy | Yes | 4.7¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | smellyEllieMid | Buy | Yes | 4.7¢ | $7 |
| 3h ago | smellyEllieMid | Buy | Yes | 4.7¢ | $7 |
| 3h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 3.9¢ | $73 |
| 3h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 3.9¢ | $73 |
| 3h ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $480 |
| 3h ago | 0xe732…898fMid | Sell | No | 98¢ | $23 |
| 3h ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $112 |
| 3h ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $112 |
| 3h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 6.0¢ | $6 |
| 3h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $7 |
| 3h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $1 |
| 3h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 8.0¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $1 |