Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 13, 11:00 PM ET?
ActiveLiquidity $4,473·Volume $9,183·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart-money signal
What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 01:52Smart money exiting · $1,487 sold 24hcomputed 1h agoSmart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$112 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$780
72h -$780
Smart money entered57¢100¢at 01:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 1h 8m(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$4,473
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $112 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 57¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Warning: wallets that backed "Yes" are now net selling it — followers usually exit when the wallets they follow do.
Note: only $112 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$780, -$780 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.
Delayed 1h · as of 01:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | smellyEllieMid | Sell | Yes | 99¢ | $1,510 |
| 1h ago | smellyEllieMid | Sell | Yes | 99¢ | $1,510 |
| 1h ago | smellyEllieMid | Sell | Yes | 99¢ | $91 |
| 1h ago | smellyEllieMid | Sell | Yes | 99¢ | $91 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Sell | Yes | 89¢ | $437 |
| 1h ago | 0xe732…898fMid | Sell | Yes | 81¢ | $403 |
| 1h ago | 0xe732…898fMid | Sell | Yes | 82¢ | $9 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 51¢ | $24 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 38¢ | $25 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 46¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $26 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $11 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | smellyEllieMid | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | smellyEllieMid | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | smellyEllieMid | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 17¢ | $34 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 18¢ | $36 |
| 1h ago | smellyEllieMid | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $4 |
| 1h ago | smellyEllieMid | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $4 |
| 1h ago | smellyEllieMid | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $3 |
| 1h ago | smellyEllieMid | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $115 |
| 1h ago | smellyEllieMid | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | smellyEllieMid | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $3 |
| 1h ago | smellyEllieMid | Buy | Yes | 16¢ | $15 |
| 1h ago | smellyEllieMid | Buy | Yes | 28¢ | $16 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 12¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 79¢ | $227 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 79¢ | $227 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 29¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 31¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 31¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | smellyEllieMid | Buy | Yes | 34¢ | $170 |
| 2h ago | smellyEllieMid | Buy | Yes | 30¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0x8296…b820Mid | Sell | Yes | 39¢ | $68 |
| 2h ago | 0x8296…b820Mid | Sell | Yes | 39¢ | $68 |
| 2h ago | smellyEllieMid | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $55 |
| 2h ago | smellyEllieMid | Buy | Yes | 43¢ | $55 |
| 2h ago | 0x8296…b820Mid | Buy | Yes | 42¢ | $36 |
| 2h ago | 0x8296…b820Mid | Buy | Yes | 42¢ | $28 |
| 2h ago | 0x8296…b820Mid | Buy | Yes | 42¢ | $9 |
| 2h ago | 0x8296…b820Mid | Buy | Yes | 42¢ | $28 |
| 2h ago | 0x8296…b820Mid | Buy | Yes | 42¢ | $36 |
| 2h ago | 0x8296…b820Mid | Buy | Yes | 42¢ | $9 |
| 2h ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | Yes | 56¢ | $112 |
| 2h ago | 0xe732…898fMid | Buy | Yes | 58¢ | $295 |