TailSlip
Log in

Command Palette

Search for a command to run...

Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 13, 11:00 PM ET?

ActiveLiquidity $4,473·Volume $9,183·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 01:52Smart money exiting · $1,487 sold 24hcomputed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$112 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
-$780
72h -$780
Smart money entered57¢100¢at 01:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 1h 8m(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$4,473
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $112 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 57¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Warning: wallets that backed "Yes" are now net selling it — followers usually exit when the wallets they follow do.

Note: only $112 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been trimming this position (-$780, -$780 over 3 days) — a sign conviction may be fading.

Delayed 1h · as of 01:52
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1h agosmellyEllieMidSellYes99¢$1,510
1h agosmellyEllieMidSellYes99¢$1,510
1h agosmellyEllieMidSellYes99¢$91
1h agosmellyEllieMidSellYes99¢$91
1h agoCarMidSellYes89¢$437
1h ago0xe732…898fMidSellYes81¢$403
1h ago0xe732…898fMidSellYes82¢$9
1h agoCarMidBuyYes51¢$24
1h agoCarMidBuyYes38¢$25
1h agoCarMidBuyYes46¢$2
1h agoCarMidBuyYes35¢$26
1h agoCarMidBuyYes18¢$11
1h agoCarMidBuyYes18¢$0
1h agosmellyEllieMidBuyYes16¢$1
1h agosmellyEllieMidBuyYes16¢$1
1h agosmellyEllieMidBuyYes16¢$0
1h agoCarMidBuyYes17¢$34
1h agoCarMidBuyYes18¢$36
1h agosmellyEllieMidBuyYes16¢$4
1h agosmellyEllieMidBuyYes16¢$4
1h agosmellyEllieMidBuyYes16¢$3
1h agosmellyEllieMidBuyYes16¢$115
1h agosmellyEllieMidBuyYes16¢$2
1h agosmellyEllieMidBuyYes16¢$3
1h agosmellyEllieMidBuyYes16¢$15
1h agosmellyEllieMidBuyYes28¢$16
2h agoCarMidBuyYes12¢$0
2h agoCarMidBuyYes12¢$2
2h agoCarMidBuyYes12¢$3
2h agoCarMidBuyYes12¢$3
2h agoCarMidBuyNo79¢$227
2h agoCarMidBuyNo79¢$227
2h agoCarMidBuyYes29¢$6
2h agoCarMidBuyYes30¢$6
2h agoCarMidBuyYes31¢$2
2h agoCarMidBuyYes31¢$4
2h agosmellyEllieMidBuyYes34¢$170
2h agosmellyEllieMidBuyYes30¢$1
2h ago0x8296…b820MidSellYes39¢$68
2h ago0x8296…b820MidSellYes39¢$68
2h agosmellyEllieMidBuyYes43¢$55
2h agosmellyEllieMidBuyYes43¢$55
2h ago0x8296…b820MidBuyYes42¢$36
2h ago0x8296…b820MidBuyYes42¢$28
2h ago0x8296…b820MidBuyYes42¢$9
2h ago0x8296…b820MidBuyYes42¢$28
2h ago0x8296…b820MidBuyYes42¢$36
2h ago0x8296…b820MidBuyYes42¢$9
2h agoclazzy1MidBuyYes56¢$112
2h ago0xe732…898fMidBuyYes58¢$295