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Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 13, 10:30 PM ET?

ActiveLiquidity $5,943·Volume $8,713·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 01:52computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
96%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$1,710 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,983
72h +$2,983
Smart money entered85¢98¢at 01:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesin 37m(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$5,943
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $1,710 riding on it.

The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 85¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $1,710 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,983, +$2,983 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 01:52
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1h agoCarMidBuyYes99¢$619
1h agoCarMidBuyYes99¢$619
1h agosmellyEllieMidSellYes99¢$500
1h ago0x5999…ae94MidBuyYes80¢$1,205
1h ago0x5999…ae94MidBuyYes80¢$25
1h ago0x5999…ae94MidBuyYes80¢$1,205
1h agosmellyEllieMidBuyYes33¢$2
1h agoCarMidBuyYes15¢$121
1h agoCarMidBuyYes14¢$47
2h agoCarMidBuyYes11¢$8
2h agoCarMidBuyYes11¢$17
2h agocashyMidBuyNo93¢$930
2h agocashyMidBuyNo93¢$930
2h agoCarMidBuyNo85¢$1,320
2h agoCarMidBuyNo85¢$1,320
2h agoCarMidBuyYes25¢$5
2h agoCarMidBuyYes26¢$5
2h agoCarMidBuyYes27¢$5
2h agosmellyEllieMidBuyYes32¢$160
2h agoclazzy1MidSellNo51¢$61
2h agoclazzy1MidBuyNo55¢$66