Will the FAA's nationwide ground stop be lifted by November 13, 10:30 PM ET?
ActiveLiquidity $5,943·Volume $8,713·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
96%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$1,710 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,983
72h +$2,983
Smart money entered85¢98¢at 01:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesin 37m(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$5,943
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $1,710 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 85¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,710 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,983, +$2,983 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 01:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $619 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $619 |
| 1h ago | smellyEllieMid | Sell | Yes | 99¢ | $500 |
| 1h ago | 0x5999…ae94Mid | Buy | Yes | 80¢ | $1,205 |
| 1h ago | 0x5999…ae94Mid | Buy | Yes | 80¢ | $25 |
| 1h ago | 0x5999…ae94Mid | Buy | Yes | 80¢ | $1,205 |
| 1h ago | smellyEllieMid | Buy | Yes | 33¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 15¢ | $121 |
| 1h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $47 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 11¢ | $8 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 11¢ | $17 |
| 2h ago | cashyMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $930 |
| 2h ago | cashyMid | Buy | No | 93¢ | $930 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 85¢ | $1,320 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | No | 85¢ | $1,320 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 25¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 26¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | CarMid | Buy | Yes | 27¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | smellyEllieMid | Buy | Yes | 32¢ | $160 |
| 2h ago | clazzy1Mid | Sell | No | 51¢ | $61 |
| 2h ago | clazzy1Mid | Buy | No | 55¢ | $66 |