Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?
ActiveLiquidity $2,738·Volume $129.7K·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$8,749
Smart money entered85¢100¢at 07:18(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesin 4d(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$2,738
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 85¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$8,749 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:18
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | alpheclabs2Mid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $78 |
| 2d ago | alpheclabs2Mid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $78 |
| 2d ago | alpheclabs2Mid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | alpheclabs2Mid | Buy | Yes | 9.0¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | alpheclabs2Mid | Buy | No | 81¢ | $115 |
| 2d ago | alpheclabs2Mid | Buy | No | 81¢ | $115 |
| 2d ago | alpheclabs2Mid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $116 |
| 2d ago | alpheclabs2Mid | Buy | No | 80¢ | $116 |
| 2d ago | alpheclabs2Mid | Buy | No | 84¢ | $923 |
| 2d ago | alpheclabs2Mid | Buy | No | 79¢ | $94 |
| 2d ago | alpheclabs2Mid | Buy | No | 79¢ | $94 |
| 2d ago | alpheclabs2Mid | Buy | No | 79¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | alpheclabs2Mid | Buy | No | 79¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | alpheclabs2Mid | Buy | No | 84¢ | $85 |
| 2d ago | alpheclabs2Mid | Buy | No | 84¢ | $85 |
| 2d ago | alpheclabs2Mid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | Yes | 14¢ | $92 |
| 2d ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | No | 86¢ | $144 |
| 2d ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 13¢ | $65 |
| 2d ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 13¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 13¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | BreakTheBankTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $123 |
| 2d ago | BreakTheBankTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $61 |
| 2d ago | BreakTheBankTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $92 |
| 2d ago | BreakTheBankTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $1,641 |
| 2d ago | BreakTheBankTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $31 |
| 2d ago | BreakTheBankTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $3,806 |
| 3d ago | BreakTheBankTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $295 |
| 3d ago | BreakTheBankTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $6 |
| 3d ago | BreakTheBankTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $6 |
| 3d ago | BreakTheBankTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $6 |
| 3d ago | BreakTheBankTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $6 |
| 3d ago | BreakTheBankTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $6 |
| 3d ago | BreakTheBankTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $6 |
| 3d ago | BreakTheBankTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $6 |
| 3d ago | BreakTheBankTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $6 |
| 3d ago | tsekinming01Mid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $3 |
| 3d ago | tsekinming01Mid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $6 |
| 3d ago | tsekinming01Mid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $6 |
| 3d ago | tsekinming01Mid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $6 |
| 3d ago | tsekinming01Mid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $87 |
| 3d ago | tsekinming01Mid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $87 |
| 3d ago | tsekinming01Mid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $20 |
| 3d ago | tsekinming01Mid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $18 |
| 3d ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $23 |
| 3d ago | tsekinming01Mid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $148 |
| 3d ago | tsekinming01Mid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $22 |
| 3d ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | Yes | 13¢ | $12 |
| 3d ago | tsekinming01Mid | Buy | No | 87¢ | $31 |
| 3d ago | BreakTheBankTop | Buy | No | 86¢ | $15 |