Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?
ActiveLiquidity $17.2K·Volume $63.5K·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$8,789
Smart money entered10¢100¢at 07:08(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesin 4d(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$17.2K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 10¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$8,789 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:08
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | pelikMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $89 |
| 2d ago | pelikMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | pelikMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $23 |
| 2d ago | pelikMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | pelikMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | pelikMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $89 |
| 2d ago | pelikMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | pauleta23Mid | Buy | Yes | 73¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | pauleta23Mid | Buy | Yes | 71¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | pauleta23Mid | Buy | Yes | 71¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | pauleta23Mid | Buy | Yes | 68¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | pauleta23Mid | Buy | Yes | 68¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | pauleta23Mid | Buy | No | 29¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | pauleta23Mid | Buy | No | 29¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | pauleta23Mid | Buy | No | 18¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | pauleta23Mid | Buy | No | 18¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | pauleta23Mid | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | pauleta23Mid | Buy | Yes | 75¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | pauleta23Mid | Buy | No | 36¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | No | 41¢ | $1,585 |
| 2d ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | No | 47¢ | $14 |
| 2d ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | No | 46¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | No | 47¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | No | 46¢ | $511 |
| 2d ago | pauleta23Mid | Buy | Yes | 56¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 7.0¢ | $866 |
| 2d ago | CUTJALENHURTSMid | Buy | Yes | 5.0¢ | $89 |
| 2d ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | Yes | 35¢ | $92 |
| 2d ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 32¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 32¢ | $75 |
| 2d ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 32¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 32¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 32¢ | $28 |
| 2d ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 32¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 32¢ | $30 |
| 2d ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 32¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 32¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 32¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 32¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 32¢ | $9 |
| 3d ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | Yes | 40¢ | $8 |
| 3d ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | No | 61¢ | $56 |
| 3d ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | No | 71¢ | $26 |
| 3d ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | No | 73¢ | $97 |
| 3d ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | Yes | 23¢ | $14 |
| 3d ago | SunlineTickerMid | Buy | No | 81¢ | $153 |