Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?
ActiveLiquidity $11.0K·Volume $35.9K·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$2,178
Smart money entered96¢100¢at 06:58(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesin 4d(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$11.0K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$2,178 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:58
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | alpheclabs2Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $177 |
| 2d ago | alpheclabs2Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $177 |
| 2d ago | alpheclabs2Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $399 |
| 2d ago | alpheclabs2Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $399 |
| 2d ago | alpheclabs2Mid | Buy | No | 96¢ | $216 |
| 2d ago | alpheclabs2Mid | Buy | No | 97¢ | $731 |
| 2d ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 2.2¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 2.2¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 2.2¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 2.2¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | DreamwireMid | Sell | Yes | 2.2¢ | $1 |