Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?
ActiveLiquidity $26.8K·Volume $34.8K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes2%No98%
Smart money leans
No
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$884 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered93¢98¢at 03:57(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3w agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$26.8K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $884 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 93¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $884 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.