Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on November 14?
ActiveLiquidity $18.5K·Volume $310·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,481
72h +$1,496
Smart money entered97¢100¢at 07:59(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy15h agoResolvesended(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$18.5K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,481, +$1,496 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:59
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15h ago | 0xdeb2…9aa8Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $1 |
| 15h ago | 0xdeb2…9aa8Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $10 |
| 15h ago | 0xdeb2…9aa8Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $194 |
| 16h ago | 0xdeb2…9aa8Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $194 |
| 16h ago | C03BMid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $865 |
| 17h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 4.3¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 4.5¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 4.6¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 3.9¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 4.1¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 5.2¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 5.2¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 5.2¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 5.2¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 4.8¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 4.7¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $4 |
| 17h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $4 |
| 17h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $5 |
| 17h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $5 |
| 17h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $5 |
| 17h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $5 |
| 17h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 90¢ | $5 |
| 17h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 91¢ | $5 |
| 17h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 91¢ | $5 |
| 17h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 91¢ | $5 |
| 17h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 91¢ | $5 |
| 17h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 6.1¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 5.9¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 6.2¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 5.7¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | Sharky6999Mid | Buy | Yes | 78¢ | $147 |
| 17h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $5 |
| 17h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $5 |
| 17h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $5 |
| 17h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $5 |
| 17h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $5 |
| 17h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 1.2¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 1.3¢ | $0 |
| 18h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 5.1¢ | $0 |
| 18h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $5 |
| 18h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $5 |
| 18h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $5 |
| 18h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $5 |
| 18h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $1 |
| 18h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $4 |
| 18h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $5 |
| 18h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | Yes | 99¢ | $5 |
| 19h ago | 0x5e8e…8212Mid | Buy | No | 0.7¢ | $0 |