TailSlip
Log in

Command Palette

Search for a command to run...

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on November 14?

ActiveLiquidity $18.5K·Volume $310·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 07:59computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,481
72h +$1,496
Smart money entered97¢100¢at 07:59(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy15h agoResolvesended(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$18.5K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,481, +$1,496 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 07:59
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
15h ago0xdeb2…9aa8MidBuyYes100¢$1
15h ago0xdeb2…9aa8MidBuyYes100¢$10
15h ago0xdeb2…9aa8MidBuyYes100¢$194
16h ago0xdeb2…9aa8MidBuyYes100¢$194
16h agoC03BMidBuyYes100¢$865
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo4.3¢$0
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo4.5¢$0
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo4.6¢$0
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo3.9¢$0
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo4.1¢$0
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo5.2¢$0
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo5.2¢$0
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo5.2¢$0
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo5.2¢$0
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo4.8¢$0
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo4.7¢$0
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes90¢$4
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes90¢$4
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes90¢$5
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes90¢$5
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes90¢$5
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes90¢$5
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes90¢$5
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes91¢$5
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes91¢$5
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes91¢$5
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes91¢$5
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo6.1¢$0
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo5.9¢$0
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo6.0¢$0
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo6.2¢$0
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo5.7¢$0
17h agoSharky6999MidBuyYes78¢$147
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes92¢$5
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes92¢$5
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes92¢$5
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes92¢$5
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes92¢$5
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo1.2¢$0
17h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo1.3¢$0
18h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo5.1¢$0
18h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes98¢$5
18h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes98¢$5
18h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes98¢$5
18h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes98¢$5
18h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes98¢$1
18h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes98¢$4
18h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes99¢$5
18h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyYes99¢$5
19h ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyNo0.7¢$0