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Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $8,056·Volume $0·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down1%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 05:53computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$433
72h +$433
Smart money entered97¢100¢at 05:53(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4h agoResolvesended(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$8,056
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$433, +$433 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 05:53
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
4h ago0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710MidBuyUp99¢$47
4h ago0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710MidBuyUp99¢$110
4h ago0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710MidBuyUp99¢$110
4h agopspspsps5MidBuyDown1.0¢$1
4h ago0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710MidBuyUp96¢$47
4h ago0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710MidBuyUp96¢$47
4h ago0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710MidBuyUp91¢$46
4h agoG-Penis-MonsterMidBuyDown21¢$1
4h ago0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710MidBuyUp91¢$5
4h ago0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025MidBuyUp88¢$25
4h agoG-Penis-MonsterMidBuyUp80¢$22
4h ago0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710MidBuyUp83¢$5
4h agopspspsps5MidBuyDown18¢$1
4h ago0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710MidBuyUp83¢$5
4h agopspspsps5MidBuyDown19¢$1
4h agoG-Penis-MonsterMidBuyUp80¢$22
4h agopspspsps5MidBuyDown17¢$1
4h agopspspsps5MidBuyDown19¢$1
4h agopspspsps5MidBuyDown21¢$2
4h agopspspsps5MidBuyDown20¢$1
4h agososwald1MidBuyDown21¢$1
4h agopspspsps5MidBuyDown22¢$2
4h agopspspsps5MidBuyDown23¢$1
4h agopspspsps5MidBuyDown23¢$1
4h agopspspsps5MidBuyDown24¢$2
4h agososwald1MidBuyDown39¢$2
4h agososwald1MidBuyDown40¢$2
4h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown39¢$12
4h agososwald1MidBuyDown39¢$2
4h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown39¢$12
4h agososwald1MidBuyDown40¢$2
4h agososwald1MidBuyDown39¢$2
4h agososwald1MidBuyDown39¢$2
4h agoG-Penis-MonsterMidBuyUp31¢$2
4h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyUp32¢$2
4h agososwald1MidBuyUp49¢$2
4h agoPBot-5MidBuyDown47¢$5
4h agososwald1MidBuyUp43¢$2
4h agososwald1MidBuyUp44¢$2
4h agososwald1MidBuyUp43¢$2
4h agososwald1MidBuyUp43¢$2
4h agososwald1MidBuyUp42¢$2
4h agososwald1MidBuyUp45¢$0