Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $8,248·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$252
72h +$252
Smart money entered82¢100¢at 16:58(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$8,248
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 82¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$252, +$252 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 16:58
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $14 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $24 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $24 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $24 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $24 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $24 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $24 |
| 2h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 72¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | 0xc2494b32d65DeA3a3A80712589d10bC5733f8a61-1774333132835Top | Buy | Down | 48¢ | $10 |
| 2h ago | 0xc2494b32d65DeA3a3A80712589d10bC5733f8a61-1774333132835Top | Buy | Down | 49¢ | $10 |
| 2h ago | 0xc2494b32d65DeA3a3A80712589d10bC5733f8a61-1774333132835Top | Buy | Down | 48¢ | $10 |
| 2h ago | 0xc2494b32d65DeA3a3A80712589d10bC5733f8a61-1774333132835Top | Buy | Down | 49¢ | $10 |