Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $9,667·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up1%Down99%
Smart money leans
Down
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$705
72h +$705
Smart money entered86¢99¢at 15:00(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$9,667
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 86¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$705, +$705 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 15:00
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $9 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $146 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 89¢ | $449 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 86¢ | $22 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 86¢ | $22 |
| 3h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 42¢ | $4 |
| 3h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 42¢ | $4 |
| 3h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 9.0¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $24 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $24 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $24 |