Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $8,815·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Up1%Down99%
Smart money leans
Down
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$331
72h +$331
Smart money entered77¢99¢at 10:50(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$8,815
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 77¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$331, +$331 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 10:50