Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $9,790·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up99%Down1%
Smart money leans
Up
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$136 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$278
72h +$278
Smart money entered48¢99¢at 17:59(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$9,790
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $136 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 48¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $136 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$278, +$278 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 17:59
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Up | 48¢ | $28 |
| 2h ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Up | 47¢ | $28 |
| 2h ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Up | 49¢ | $28 |
| 2h ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Up | 50¢ | $29 |
| 2h ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Up | 48¢ | $12 |
| 2h ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Up | 49¢ | $10 |