Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $9,016·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,190
72h +$1,190
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 13:00(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$9,016
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,190, +$1,190 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 13:00
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $999 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $191 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $191 |
| 1h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $3 |