Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $8,807·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,805
72h +$1,805
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 12:01(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$8,807
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,805, +$1,805 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 12:01
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $999 |
| 2h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $44 |
| 2h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $761 |
| 2h ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Up | 45¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Up | 45¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Up | 48¢ | $5 |