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Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $6,303·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up1%Down99%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 02:57computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Down
99% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.2pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$249
Smart money entered29¢99¢at 02:57Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$6,303
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Not enough history yet
Explanation

4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 29¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$249 on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 02:57
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1d ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyDown88¢$9
1d ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyDown87¢$9
1d ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyDown88¢$9
1d ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyDown87¢$9
1d ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyDown91¢$5
1d agososwald1MidSellDown93¢$14
1d agososwald1MidSellDown93¢$14
1d ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyDown91¢$5
1d agososwald1MidSellDown89¢$7
1d agososwald1MidSellDown87¢$3
1d agososwald1MidSellDown95¢$5
1d ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyDown91¢$5
1d agososwald1MidSellDown89¢$9
1d agososwald1MidSellDown89¢$8
1d agososwald1MidSellDown90¢$9
1d agososwald1MidSellDown89¢$9
1d ago0x5e8e…8212MidBuyDown91¢$5
1d agososwald1MidSellDown89¢$8
1d agososwald1MidSellDown90¢$9
1d ago0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bMidSellUp6.0¢$1
1d agososwald1MidSellDown96¢$5
1d ago0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bMidSellUp6.0¢$1
1d agososwald1MidSellDown96¢$5
1d agososwald1MidSellDown95¢$5
1d agososwald1MidSellDown96¢$5
1d agososwald1MidSellDown96¢$5
1d agososwald1MidSellDown95¢$5
1d ago0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bMidSellUp12¢$0
1d ago0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bMidSellUp12¢$0
1d agososwald1MidSellDown74¢$4
1d agososwald1MidSellDown74¢$4
1d agososwald1MidSellDown74¢$4
1d agososwald1MidSellDown74¢$4
1d ago0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bMidSellDown62¢$5
1d ago0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bMidSellDown62¢$2
1d ago0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bMidSellUp81¢$4
1d ago0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bMidSellUp81¢$4
1d agososwald1MidSellUp72¢$4
1d agososwald1MidSellUp71¢$1
1d ago0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bMidSellUp73¢$6
1d agoohioismTopBuyDown30¢$5
1d agososwald1MidSellUp74¢$4
1d ago0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bMidSellDown30¢$5
1d agoohioismTopBuyDown30¢$5
1d ago0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bMidSellDown30¢$5
1d agososwald1MidSellUp74¢$4
1d agoohioismTopBuyDown25¢$5
1d ago0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bMidSellUp79¢$1
1d agoohioismTopBuyDown25¢$5
1d ago0xf074dc84e438e22488da4e078fad1be62ede723bMidSellUp79¢$1