Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $7,917·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up1%Down99%
Smart money leans
Down
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$77 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$521
72h +$521
Smart money entered29¢99¢at 00:59(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$7,917
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $77 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 29¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $77 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$521, +$521 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:59
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Down | 29¢ | $77 |
| 2h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Down | 29¢ | $77 |