Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $6,330·Volume $0·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$200 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$350
72h +$350
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 06:56(51% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$6,330
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $200 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 51% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $200 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$350, +$350 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:56