Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $9,439·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$376
72h +$376
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 00:52(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$9,439
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$376, +$376 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $176 |
| 6h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $200 |
| 6h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 9.0¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 9.0¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 31¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 31¢ | $2 |
| 7h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 49¢ | $2 |
| 7h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 49¢ | $2 |
| 7h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 47¢ | $2 |
| 7h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 47¢ | $2 |