Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $9,277·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$233 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$3,341
72h +$3,341
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 17:58(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$9,277
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $233 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$3,341, +$3,341 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 17:58
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $3,002 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $3,002 |
| 1h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $200 |
| 1h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $200 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 35¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 35¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 50¢ | $20 |
| 1h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 50¢ | $20 |
| 1h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 45¢ | $14 |
| 1h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 45¢ | $14 |