Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $7,101·Volume $200·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$24 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$258
72h +$258
Smart money entered97¢99¢at 06:53(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$7,101
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $24 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $24 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$258, +$258 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:53
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $20 |
| 1h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $20 |
| 1h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $180 |
| 1h ago | 0xe1e556d1de36301b5b21383918b2436d71675665Mid | Sell | Up | 96¢ | $6 |
| 1h ago | 0xe1e556d1de36301b5b21383918b2436d71675665Mid | Sell | Down | 18¢ | $1 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 88¢ | $13 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 88¢ | $13 |
| 1h ago | ohioismTop | Buy | Up | 69¢ | $10 |
| 1h ago | ohioismTop | Buy | Up | 69¢ | $10 |
| 1h ago | PBot-6Mid | Buy | Up | 50¢ | $4 |