Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $8,263·Volume $200·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$21 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$252
72h +$252
Smart money entered96¢100¢at 06:54(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$8,263
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $21 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $21 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$252, +$252 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:54
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $9 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $192 |
| 2h ago | 0xe1e556d1de36301b5b21383918b2436d71675665Mid | Sell | Down | 22¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0xe1e556d1de36301b5b21383918b2436d71675665Mid | Sell | Down | 18¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0xe1e556d1de36301b5b21383918b2436d71675665Mid | Sell | Down | 20¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0xe1e556d1de36301b5b21383918b2436d71675665Mid | Sell | Up | 77¢ | $15 |
| 2h ago | ohioismTop | Buy | Up | 76¢ | $15 |
| 2h ago | ohioismTop | Buy | Up | 76¢ | $15 |
| 2h ago | ohioismTop | Buy | Up | 59¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | ohioismTop | Buy | Up | 59¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | 0xe1e556d1de36301b5b21383918b2436d71675665Mid | Sell | Down | 34¢ | $1 |