Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $7,029·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
73% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
73%price73%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$143 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$786
72h +$786
Smart money entered23¢73¢at 13:00(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$7,029
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $143 riding on it.
The price of 73% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 23¢; the price was 73¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $143 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$786, +$786 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 13:00
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $58 |
| 1h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $9 |
| 1h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Down | 11¢ | $0 |
| 1h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Down | 16¢ | $5 |
| 1h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Down | 14¢ | $22 |
| 1h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Down | 14¢ | $4 |
| 1h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Down | 14¢ | $22 |
| 1h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Down | 14¢ | $4 |
| 1h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Down | 22¢ | $25 |
| 1h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Down | 22¢ | $25 |
| 1h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Down | 25¢ | $37 |
| 1h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Down | 25¢ | $37 |
| 1h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Down | 33¢ | $51 |