Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?
ActiveLiquidity $7,205·Volume $28.4K·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$10.2K
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 07:44(0% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$7,205
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$10.2K on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 07:44
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | onekey02Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $974 |
| 1d ago | onekey02Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $974 |
| 1d ago | onekey02Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5,020 |
| 1d ago | onekey02Mid | Buy | No | 100¢ | $5,020 |
| 1d ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.2¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.2¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.2¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.2¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.2¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.2¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.2¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Mid | Buy | Yes | 0.2¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | ElonSpamMid | Sell | Yes | 0.3¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | ElonSpamMid | Sell | Yes | 0.3¢ | $3 |