Will Drake Maye have 20.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
ActiveLiquidity $438·Volume $3,402·Ends Jan 27, 2027
Price now:Yes94%No7%
Smart money leans
Yes
95% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
95%price95%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$269 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$86
Smart money entered80¢95¢at 05:14(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 75d(Jan 27, 2027)Liquidity$438
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $269 riding on it.
The price of 95% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 80¢; the price was 95¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $269 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$86 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:14
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $13 |
| 1d ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | Yes | 92¢ | $70 |
| 5d ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | Yes | 80¢ | $160 |