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Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $972·Volume $17.3K·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:PARIVISION100%Yellow Submarine0%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 15:46computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
PARIVISION
89% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
75%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
89%price89%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$671 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,289
72h +$1,289
Smart money entered79¢89¢at 15:46(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesin 3h 9m(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$972
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "PARIVISION", with $671 riding on it.

The price of 89% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 79¢; the price was 89¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,289, +$1,289 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 15:46
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1h agoyishiwuchengMidBuyYellow Submarine6.0¢$0
1h ago0xa521…d609MidBuyPARIVISION94¢$50
1h agoyishiwuchengMidBuyYellow Submarine7.0¢$1
1h ago0xa521…d609MidBuyPARIVISION93¢$50
1h agoyishiwuchengMidBuyPARIVISION85¢$4
1h agoyishiwuchengMidBuyPARIVISION92¢$6
2h agoyishiwuchengMidBuyYellow Submarine15¢$1
2h agoyishiwuchengMidBuyYellow Submarine15¢$1
2h agoyishiwuchengMidBuyYellow Submarine23¢$2
2h agoyishiwuchengMidBuyYellow Submarine19¢$1
2h ago0xa521…d609MidBuyPARIVISION77¢$100
2h agoyishiwuchengMidBuyYellow Submarine24¢$1
2h ago0xa521…d609MidBuyPARIVISION77¢$100
2h agoyishiwuchengMidBuyYellow Submarine18¢$1
2h ago0xa521…d609MidBuyPARIVISION74¢$60
2h ago0xa521…d609MidBuyPARIVISION74¢$60
2h agoyishiwuchengMidBuyYellow Submarine26¢$3
2h agoyishiwuchengMidBuyYellow Submarine23¢$1
2h ago0xa521…d609MidBuyPARIVISION78¢$100
2h agoyishiwuchengMidBuyYellow Submarine24¢$1
2h agoyishiwuchengMidBuyYellow Submarine24¢$0
2h agoyishiwuchengMidBuyYellow Submarine25¢$200
2h agoyishiwuchengMidBuyYellow Submarine25¢$200
2h agoyishiwuchengMidBuyYellow Submarine25¢$200
2h agoyishiwuchengMidBuyYellow Submarine25¢$200
2h agoyishiwuchengMidBuyYellow Submarine23¢$1
2h agoyishiwuchengMidBuyYellow Submarine23¢$1
2h agoyishiwuchengMidBuyYellow Submarine23¢$0
2h agoyishiwuchengMidBuyYellow Submarine23¢$0
2h ago0xb580…9ba2MidBuyPARIVISION77¢$71
2h ago0xb580…9ba2MidBuyPARIVISION77¢$71
2h ago0xb580…9ba2MidBuyPARIVISION77¢$6
2h agoyishiwuchengMidBuyYellow Submarine22¢$36
2h agoyishiwuchengMidBuyYellow Submarine22¢$36
2h agoyishiwuchengMidBuyYellow Submarine21¢$26
2h agoyishiwuchengMidBuyYellow Submarine21¢$26
2h agoyishiwuchengMidBuyYellow Submarine22¢$5
3h ago0x6dd9…bfe8MidBuyPARIVISION78¢$234
3h ago0x6dd9…bfe8MidBuyPARIVISION78¢$234
4h agoyishiwuchengMidBuyYellow Submarine23¢$1