Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit 70% by March 31?
ActiveLiquidity $1,534·Volume $6,463·Ends Apr 1, 2027
Price now:Yes68%No32%
Smart money leans
Yes
68% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
68%price68%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$500 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered50¢68¢at 03:29(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3d agoResolvesin 141d(Apr 1, 2027)Liquidity$1,534
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $500 riding on it.
The price of 68% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 50¢; the price was 68¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $500 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.