Democratic 2028 presidential odds dip to 55% by March 31?
ActiveLiquidity $16.0K·Volume $5,696·Ends Apr 1, 2027
Price now:Yes14%No86%
Smart money leans
No
86% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
86%price86%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$988 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered73¢86¢at 06:53(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1w agoResolvesin 141d(Apr 1, 2027)Liquidity$16.0K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $988 riding on it.
The price of 86% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 73¢; the price was 86¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $988 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:53
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w ago | viniiTop | Buy | No | 73¢ | $998 |