Will Dak Prescott have 27.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
ActiveLiquidity $181·Volume $1,015·Ends Jan 27, 2027
Price now:Yes59%No41%
Smart money leans
Yes
59% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
59%price59%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$241 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$261
Smart money entered54¢59¢at 05:14(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 75d(Jan 27, 2027)Liquidity$181
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $241 riding on it.
The price of 59% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 54¢; the price was 59¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $241 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$261 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:14
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | Yes | 54¢ | $246 |