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Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $39.8K·Volume $73.0K·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Spirit57%FUT Esports43%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 00:34computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Spirit
54% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
78%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
54%price54%model est.*
Smart wallets
8
$28.9K at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$63.2K
72h +$56.3K
Smart money entered49¢54¢at 00:34(68% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesin 11h 26m(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$39.8K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

8 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "Spirit", with $28.9K riding on it.

The price of 54% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 49¢; the price was 54¢ at this snapshot — roughly 68% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$63.2K, +$56.3K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 00:34
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
2h agoiWasEnoughMidBuySpirit51¢$729
2h agoiWasEnoughMidBuySpirit51¢$729
2h agoGooooooollllllllllTopBuySpirit51¢$14,603
2h agovibing123TopBuySpirit51¢$4,080
2h agoiWasEnoughMidBuySpirit51¢$8
2h agoiWasEnoughMidBuySpirit51¢$3
2h agoiWasEnoughMidBuySpirit51¢$3
2h agoiWasEnoughMidBuySpirit51¢$7
2h agovibing123TopBuySpirit51¢$4,080
2h agoGooooooollllllllllTopBuySpirit51¢$14,603
2h agoiWasEnoughMidBuySpirit51¢$4
2h agoGooooooollllllllllTopBuySpirit51¢$2
2h agoGooooooollllllllllTopBuySpirit51¢$2
2h agoGooooooollllllllllTopBuySpirit51¢$15
2h agoGooooooollllllllllTopBuySpirit51¢$15
6h agoDumplingBMFMidBuySpirit52¢$26
6h agoSnakeBallMidBuySpirit53¢$75
6h agoSnakeBallMidBuySpirit53¢$59
6h agoDumplingBMFMidBuySpirit53¢$1,060
6h agoSnakeBallMidBuySpirit54¢$3
6h agoDumplingBMFMidBuySpirit53¢$1,060
6h agoSnakeBallMidBuySpirit54¢$14
6h agoSnakeBallMidBuySpirit54¢$72
6h agoSnakeBallMidBuySpirit54¢$7
6h agoSnakeBallMidBuySpirit54¢$14
6h agoSnakeBallMidBuySpirit54¢$3
6h agoSnakeBallMidBuyFUT Esports45¢$57
6h agoSnakeBallMidBuySpirit54¢$134
7h agoDumplingBMFMidBuySpirit52¢$1
7h agoDumplingBMFMidBuySpirit52¢$15
7h agoDumplingBMFMidBuySpirit52¢$15
7h agoDumplingBMFMidBuySpirit52¢$100
7h agoDumplingBMFMidBuySpirit52¢$447
7h agoAnibalAugustoSardinhaTopBuyFUT Esports47¢$4,623
7h agoSnakeBallMidBuyFUT Esports47¢$134
7h agoAnibalAugustoSardinhaTopBuyFUT Esports47¢$2,498
7h agoDumplingBMFMidBuySpirit52¢$1
7h agoDumplingBMFMidBuySpirit52¢$54
7h agoDumplingBMFMidBuySpirit52¢$1
7h agoAnibalAugustoSardinhaTopBuyFUT Esports47¢$2,498
7h agoDumplingBMFMidBuySpirit52¢$54
7h agoDumplingBMFMidBuySpirit52¢$155
7h agoDumplingBMFMidBuySpirit52¢$155
8h agoDumplingBMFMidBuySpirit52¢$43
8h agoDumplingBMFMidBuySpirit52¢$43
8h agoDumplingBMFMidBuySpirit52¢$11
8h agoDumplingBMFMidBuySpirit52¢$11
9h agoDumplingBMFMidBuySpirit52¢$468
9h agoDumplingBMFMidBuySpirit52¢$146
9h agoDumplingBMFMidBuySpirit52¢$11