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Counter-Strike: Nexus vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $15.0K·Volume $140.5K·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Nexus52%BakS eSports48%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 15:46computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Nexus
27% at snapshot
Divergence
+1.2pp
model above price
Consensus
63%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
27%price28%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$6,129 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$12.0K
72h +$12.0K
Smart money entered46¢27¢at 15:46(0% priced in)Edge left+1.2ppLast smart buy1h agoResolvesin 4h 13m(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$15.0K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Nexus", with $6,129 riding on it.

The price of 27% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 46¢; the price was 27¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$12.0K, +$12.0K over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 15:46
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyNexus25¢$3
1h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyNexus27¢$2
1h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyNexus27¢$9
1h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyNexus27¢$2
1h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyNexus30¢$7
1h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyNexus30¢$11
1h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyNexus30¢$1
1h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyNexus31¢$13
1h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyNexus36¢$13
1h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyNexus38¢$12
1h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyNexus38¢$12
1h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyNexus38¢$0
1h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyNexus38¢$0
1h agorrrrrrrrrrrrrcccc22MidBuyBakS eSports59¢$27
1h agorrrrrrrrrrrrrcccc22MidBuyBakS eSports59¢$15
1h agorrrrrrrrrrrrrcccc22MidBuyBakS eSports59¢$0
1h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyNexus46¢$13
1h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyNexus46¢$1
1h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyNexus43¢$2
1h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyNexus43¢$12
1h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyNexus44¢$1
1h agorrrrrrrrrrrrrcccc22MidBuyBakS eSports56¢$249
1h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyNexus45¢$14
1h agokeeptheblueflagflyinghighMidBuyNexus58¢$20
1h ago636763MidBuyNexus48¢$240
1h ago636763MidBuyNexus48¢$240
1h ago636763MidBuyNexus47¢$4
1h ago636763MidBuyNexus47¢$27
1h ago636763MidBuyNexus47¢$8
1h ago636763MidBuyNexus47¢$8
3h agoiWasEnoughMidBuyBakS eSports57¢$5
3h agoiWasEnoughMidBuyBakS eSports57¢$6
4h agoiWasEnoughMidBuyBakS eSports57¢$3
4h agoGooooooollllllllllTopBuyBakS eSports57¢$44
4h agoGooooooollllllllllTopBuyBakS eSports57¢$7
4h agoGooooooollllllllllTopBuyBakS eSports57¢$7
4h agoGooooooollllllllllTopBuyBakS eSports57¢$7
4h agoGooooooollllllllllTopBuyBakS eSports57¢$7
4h agoGooooooollllllllllTopBuyBakS eSports57¢$286
4h agoGooooooollllllllllTopBuyBakS eSports57¢$286
4h agoiWasEnoughMidBuyNexus44¢$113
4h agoiWasEnoughMidBuyNexus44¢$113
4h agoiWasEnoughMidBuyNexus44¢$2
4h agoiWasEnoughMidBuyNexus44¢$2
4h agoiWasEnoughMidBuyNexus44¢$4
4h agoiWasEnoughMidBuyNexus44¢$7
4h agoiWasEnoughMidBuyNexus44¢$2
4h agoiWasEnoughMidBuyNexus44¢$4
4h agoiWasEnoughMidBuyNexus44¢$2
4h agoiWasEnoughMidBuyNexus44¢$7