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Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by December 31?

ActiveLiquidity $14.3K·Volume $12.0K·Ends Jan 1, 2027
Price now:Yes10%No90%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 03:29computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
No
90% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
77%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
90%price90%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$582 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered72¢90¢at 03:29(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6d agoResolvesin 51d(Jan 1, 2027)Liquidity$14.3K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "No", with $582 riding on it.

The price of 90% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 72¢; the price was 90¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $582 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Delayed 1h · as of 03:29
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
6d agoUdonsanTopBuyNo75¢$234
1w agoStarMasterMidBuyNo70¢$350
2w agoviniiTopBuyYes25¢$91
3w agoviniiTopBuyYes31¢$62
3w agoviniiTopBuyYes33¢$66
6w agoviniiTopBuyNo80¢$18