Will Guatemala win on 2026-11-13?
ActiveLiquidity $173·Volume $34·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Yes0%No100%
Smart-money signal
What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 06:05Smart money exiting · $127 sold 24hcomputed 1h agoSmart money leans
No
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$300 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$478
72h +$478
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 06:05Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3h agoResolvesended(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$173
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "No", with $300 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
Warning: wallets that backed "No" are now net selling it — followers usually exit when the wallets they follow do.
Note: only $300 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$478, +$478 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:05
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | NordhavenCapTop | Buy | Yes | 1.3¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | NordhavenCapTop | Buy | Yes | 1.3¢ | $0 |
| 3h ago | 0xdd1c…e2d3Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $200 |
| 3h ago | 0xdd1c…e2d3Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $200 |
| 4h ago | 0xdd1c…e2d3Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $100 |
| 4h ago | 0xdd1c…e2d3Mid | Buy | No | 99¢ | $100 |
| 4h ago | NordhavenCapTop | Buy | Yes | 2.3¢ | $1 |
| 4h ago | spyGoodLuck77Mid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $66 |
| 4h ago | spyGoodLuck77Mid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $66 |
| 4h ago | spyGoodLuck77Mid | Buy | No | 89¢ | $44 |
| 5h ago | jodarTop | Sell | No | 79¢ | $24 |
| 5h ago | jodarTop | Sell | No | 79¢ | $24 |
| 5h ago | jodarTop | Buy | No | 79¢ | $24 |
| 5h ago | jodarTop | Buy | No | 79¢ | $24 |
| 11h ago | BlackMamba08Top | Sell | No | 84¢ | $53 |
| 11h ago | BlackMamba08Top | Sell | No | 84¢ | $53 |
| 3d ago | BlackMamba08Top | Buy | No | 67¢ | $24 |
| 3d ago | BlackMamba08Top | Buy | No | 80¢ | $22 |