Will Canada win on 2026-11-13?
ActiveLiquidity $156·Volume $40·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%
Smart-money signal
What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 06:05Smart money exiting · $1,121 sold 24hcomputed 1h agoSmart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$3,323 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$3,772
72h +$3,772
Smart money entered86¢100¢at 06:05Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3h agoResolvesended(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$156
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $3,323 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 86¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
Warning: wallets that backed "Yes" are now net selling it — followers usually exit when the wallets they follow do.
Note: only $3,323 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$3,772, +$3,772 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:05
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | 0xdd1c…e2d3Mid | Buy | Yes | 100¢ | $100 |
| 3h ago | spyGoodLuck77Mid | Buy | No | 3.4¢ | $195 |
| 3h ago | spyGoodLuck77Mid | Buy | No | 3.4¢ | $195 |
| 3h ago | alpheclabs2Mid | Buy | Yes | 96¢ | $2,588 |
| 3h ago | 0xec1e…0d9cMid | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $585 |
| 3h ago | 0xec1e…0d9cMid | Sell | Yes | 96¢ | $585 |
| 3h ago | NordhavenCapTop | Buy | No | 2.0¢ | $60 |
| 3h ago | NordhavenCapTop | Buy | No | 2.0¢ | $60 |
| 3h ago | 0xec1e…0d9cMid | Buy | Yes | 98¢ | $100 |
| 4h ago | NordhavenCapTop | Buy | No | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 4h ago | NordhavenCapTop | Buy | No | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 4h ago | NordhavenCapTop | Buy | No | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 4h ago | spyGoodLuck77Mid | Buy | No | 8.0¢ | $277 |
| 4h ago | spyGoodLuck77Mid | Buy | Yes | 87¢ | $81 |
| 4h ago | spyGoodLuck77Mid | Buy | Yes | 87¢ | $81 |
| 4h ago | spyGoodLuck77Mid | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $98 |
| 4h ago | spyGoodLuck77Mid | Buy | Yes | 72¢ | $98 |
| 4h ago | alpheclabs2Mid | Buy | No | 35¢ | $5 |
| 4h ago | pauleta23Mid | Buy | Yes | 65¢ | $10 |
| 4h ago | pauleta23Mid | Buy | Yes | 59¢ | $10 |
| 4h ago | pauleta23Mid | Buy | Yes | 59¢ | $10 |
| 4h ago | pauleta23Mid | Buy | Yes | 59¢ | $10 |
| 4h ago | pauleta23Mid | Buy | Yes | 59¢ | $10 |
| 4h ago | pauleta23Mid | Buy | Yes | 59¢ | $10 |
| 4h ago | pauleta23Mid | Buy | Yes | 59¢ | $10 |
| 4h ago | spyGoodLuck77Mid | Buy | Yes | 74¢ | $77 |
| 4h ago | tradecraftMid | Buy | No | 39¢ | $7 |
| 6h ago | tradecraftMid | Buy | No | 32¢ | $4 |
| 7h ago | tradecraftMid | Buy | No | 32¢ | $2 |
| 7h ago | tradecraftMid | Buy | No | 32¢ | $10 |
| 7h ago | tradecraftMid | Buy | No | 31¢ | $5 |
| 7h ago | tradecraftMid | Buy | No | 32¢ | $16 |
| 7h ago | tradecraftMid | Buy | No | 32¢ | $26 |
| 7h ago | tradecraftMid | Buy | No | 33¢ | $17 |
| 8h ago | tradecraftMid | Buy | Yes | 65¢ | $71 |
| 9h ago | tradecraftMid | Buy | Yes | 66¢ | $5 |
| 13h ago | DanielsDixonMid | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $610 |
| 13h ago | DanielsDixonMid | Buy | Yes | 61¢ | $610 |