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Cuba leading at halftime?

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $39·Volume $0·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Yes100%No0%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 06:44computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Yes
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$30.0K
Smart money entered83¢100¢at 06:44(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$39
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 83¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$30.0K on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 06:44
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1d agoclaudesportsMidBuyNo3.0¢$16
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes95¢$79
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes95¢$463
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes95¢$255
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes93¢$75
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes93¢$79
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes93¢$82
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes93¢$121
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes93¢$143
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes93¢$81
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes93¢$358
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes93¢$67
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes93¢$113
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes93¢$102
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes93¢$106
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes93¢$108
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes93¢$33
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes93¢$436
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes93¢$19
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes93¢$88
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes93¢$109
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes93¢$19
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes89¢$86
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes89¢$88
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes89¢$106
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes89¢$46
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes89¢$73
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes89¢$125
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes89¢$78
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes89¢$93
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes89¢$105
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes89¢$93
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes89¢$85
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes89¢$98
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes89¢$85
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes89¢$97
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes89¢$62
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes89¢$98
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes89¢$60
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes89¢$60
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes89¢$123
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes88¢$172
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes88¢$120
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes90¢$100
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes90¢$107
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes90¢$106
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes90¢$104
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes90¢$102
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes90¢$111
1d agolukibazdonauki754TopBuyYes90¢$40